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Cake day: June 14th, 2023

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  • I’ve heard many different explanations for the differences, the simplest being the older generation were more moderate and the younger more hardline.

    But I think that’s oversimplifying it.

    One of the more compelling explanations I’ve heard from an Irianan academic is the difference in the wars each generation of leaders were forged in.

    Basically his explanation states that the older generation were veterans of the Iran-Iraq war, which was the largest conventional war since WW2.

    And that was the lens they viewed a potential conflict with America through, purely conventional.

    Whereas the new generation were forged in Iraq and Syria, fighting with asymmetrical warfare.

    Note that this war, while not quite over, has been waged mostly asymmetrically.

    Sure, they used their conventional forces to attack America’s conventional forces, but their primary thrust was exerting asymmetric economic pressure through oil and gas infrastructure and closing off the straight.

    I’m looking forward to reading the historical accounts of this conflict in the hopefully not too distant future.










  • Russia has banned them, sort of.

    Although I don’t think their methods would work here, or rather, I don’t think they could grab the kind of power necessary.

    Russia now has regional internet blackouts, were they effectively only allow a small number of white listed sites to be accessible.

    So if you you literally cannot reach the VPN servers because only a handful of Russian government websites, preferred businesses, and UK banks (oligarchs gotta oligarch) are whitelisted, well then you banned VPNs, again, sort of.

    They did roll out a government approved VPN for specific approved individuals and use cases, to a get around those blackouts…so that’s something.


  • Iran seem to have LOST the propaganda war…in the United States.

    Say what?

    Anecdotally, go look at the YouTube comments for any video related to Iran, their 80% against it.

    Even on local news videos, where everyone generally supports the death penalty for petty theft or aggravated liberalism.

    Even if those are bots, they’re still proof positive that the propaganda war has not been won by the pro-war factions.

    And when it was actually polled, 60% of Americans opposed the war on its first week and wars don’t get more popular over time.

    MAGA and the GOP broadly support it, which is about 1/3 or the country, but that’s a lost cause.






  • At no point that did I say that the killing of the girls was a strategic move to demoralize the IRGC.

    And I remain dumbfounded as to why people keep giving the benefit of the doubt to Trump and Hegseth.

    I’m not saying it was a strategic choice, I’m saying I could easily see Pete being a sadist who got off on killing those schoolgirls, who approved the strike package based on that alone, and that’s before you even consider his crusades and killing Muslims fetishes.

    In that scenario the fact that they are the children of IRGC members just gives him an excuse to rationalize his choice to pleasure himself with their blood.

    Again, I don’t know that’s what happened, but I know it’s just as likely as it being an “oppsie” when the man in charge of the Pentagon is a known abuser of women, in addition to being a drunk moron ultra Zionist Christian nationalist with crusader tattoos.



  • The invasion Force used for Iraq (2003) was I believe around 300,000 soldiers.

    Iran is four times the size of Iraq.

    This might be enough soldiers to seize one of Iran’s small coastal islands, but it’s not enough to hold it for long once the drones and missiles start falling.

    There might be other smaller Iranian holdings in the general region that they’re looking at, but using that force inside the straight or gulf, would be a bloodbath.